Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.157147 0.177276 0.198443 0.222310 0.248417 0.276053 0.307464
2025-03-23 0.132395 0.159872 0.190296 0.226299 0.267550 0.313144 0.367149
2025-03-30 0.111935 0.143587 0.180256 0.225485 0.279356 0.341047 0.416586
2025-04-06 0.096237 0.130478 0.171804 0.224684 0.289834 0.366735 0.463570
2025-04-13 0.083672 0.119467 0.164332 0.223686 0.299050 0.390408 0.508267
2025-04-20 0.074976 0.112237 0.160564 0.226425 0.312288 0.418797 0.559079
2025-04-27 0.069018 0.107869 0.159837 0.232553 0.329575 0.452353 0.616965
2025-05-04 0.062190 0.101502 0.155728 0.233593 0.339848 0.476913 0.663813
2025-05-11 0.057744 0.098019 0.155129 0.239042 0.355826 0.509000 0.720931
2025-05-18 0.054007 0.095162 0.155060 0.244971 0.372398 0.542091 0.780001
2025-05-25 0.048613 0.089219 0.150003 0.243355 0.378225 0.560714 0.820111
2025-06-01 0.044239 0.084429 0.146224 0.243191 0.385813 0.581654 0.863561
2025-06-08 0.039844 0.079279 0.141655 0.241756 0.391735 0.600809 0.905657
2025-06-15 0.037432 0.077212 0.141679 0.247123 0.407579 0.634086 0.967882
2025-06-22 0.034072 0.073155 0.138210 0.246843 0.414947 0.655473 1.013970
2025-06-29 0.031011 0.069304 0.134758 0.246302 0.421745 0.676056 1.059239
2025-07-06 0.028196 0.065605 0.131256 0.245400 0.427809 0.695568 1.103260
2025-07-13 0.026318 0.063487 0.130269 0.248442 0.439930 0.724100 1.160706
2025-07-20 0.025167 0.062679 0.131476 0.255092 0.457807 0.761467 1.231623
2025-07-27 0.023283 0.060185 0.129496 0.256240 0.466936 0.785913 1.284094
2025-08-03 0.022218 0.059282 0.130312 0.262121 0.483730 0.822180 1.354568
2025-08-10 0.021292 0.058578 0.131426 0.268511 0.501471 0.860204 1.428291
2025-08-17 0.019414 0.055579 0.128013 0.266776 0.505810 0.877744 1.471715